AI Referee Insights
Wyatt Raymond officiated this match (40 career games). The combined score of 46 points was 4 points below Wyatt Raymond's career average of 50. Dolphins's victory aligns with Wyatt Raymond's historical trend — Dolphins have a 67% win rate under this referee. Despite Wyatt Raymond's 60% career home-team win rate, the away side Dolphins prevailed.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Dolphins defied the model's 52% prediction for Titans — a notable result. The margin model missed here — predicting 3.7 but the actual margin was 26 points. Total score prediction of 45 was close to the actual 46 — within 1 points. Dolphins led 0–16 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 26. The model went 1/3 on this match. The under 52.5 total call was correct.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Titans
52%
Dolphins
48%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Titans a marginal 52% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Titans ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Titans carry a 115-point ELO rating advantage (1469 vs 1353). Recent form favours Titans with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Dolphins. The margin model predicts Titans by 3.7 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Titans to Win @1.48
Lost ✗
Edge
-13.6%
Line / Spread
Titans -5.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
-13.6%
Total Points
Under 52.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+21.7%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Titans | WWLLL | 21.2 |
Dolphins | LLLLL | 12.4 |
Avg Conceded
22.4
Titans
21.2
Dolphins
Avg Margin
-1.2
Titans
-8.8
Dolphins
Run Metres
1665
Titans
1706
Dolphins
Line Breaks
3.6
Titans
2.8
Dolphins
Each team's win rate when Wyatt Raymond refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Wyatt Raymond officiates, Dolphins have won 2 of 3 games (67%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Titans's 2 from 4 (50%). That's a 17‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 50.3 pts — above the league norm — suggesting he lets the game flow, which can benefit attacking sides. Home teams win 60% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Titans an additional edge at home. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Dolphins — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
50.3 pts
Home Win %
60%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
52%
Titans predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +3.7
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