AI Referee Insights
Adam Gee officiated this match (287 career games). The combined score of 54 points was 11 points above Adam Gee's career average of 43. Storm's home victory fits Adam Gee's profile — home teams win 57% of the time under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Storm to win at 72% probability. The margin model was sharp — predicting Storm by 8.0 vs the actual margin of 6 points. The model went 2/3 on this match. The 1-12 margin band call landed.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Storm
72%
Panthers
28%
AI Match Overview
Storm are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Panthers. The model sees Storm ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Storm carry a 64-point ELO rating advantage (1679 vs 1615). The margin model predicts Storm by 8.0 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Storm to Win @1.43
Winner ✓
Edge
-3.2%
Line / Spread
Storm -6.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-3.2%
Total Points
Under 43.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+5.9%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Storm | WWWWL | 44.2 |
Panthers | WWWWL | 26.8 |
Avg Conceded
19.2
Storm
17.6
Panthers
Avg Margin
25.0
Storm
9.2
Panthers
Run Metres
1881
Storm
1859
Panthers
Line Breaks
8.8
Storm
5.0
Panthers
Each team's win rate when Adam Gee refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
Both sides have a similar record when Adam Gee officiates — Storm 28W–13L (68%) and Panthers 27W–11L (71%) across all their respective games. No significant bias detected. His games average 42.6 pts, sitting close to the league average. Home teams win 57% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Storm an additional edge at home.
Avg Total
42.6 pts
Home Win %
57%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
72%
Storm predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +8.0
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