AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Cowboys to win at 73% probability. The margin model missed here — predicting 8.6 but the actual margin was 34 points. Total score prediction of 43 was close to the actual 42 — within 1 points. Cowboys led 20–0 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 34. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Cowboys
73%
Knights
27%
AI Match Overview
Cowboys are clear favourites here at 73%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Knights. The model sees Cowboys ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control. Recent form favours Cowboys with 1 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Knights. The margin model predicts Cowboys by 8.6 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Cowboys to Win @1.45
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.4%
Line / Spread
Cowboys -6.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.4%
Total Points
Under 47.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+11.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Cowboys | WLLLL | 20.0 |
Knights | LLLLL | 15.4 |
Avg Conceded
27.6
Cowboys
33.2
Knights
Avg Margin
-7.6
Cowboys
-17.8
Knights
Run Metres
1693
Cowboys
1596
Knights
Line Breaks
4.0
Cowboys
3.8
Knights
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
73%
Cowboys predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +8.6
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