AI Referee Insights
Wyatt Raymond officiated this match (40 career games). The 54-point combined total was right in line with Wyatt Raymond's career average of 50. Cowboys bucked the trend — Titans historically win 50% of games under Wyatt Raymond, but couldn't convert that edge today. Despite Wyatt Raymond's 60% career home-team win rate, the away side Cowboys prevailed.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Cowboys to win at 62% probability. The predicted margin of 0.8 was reasonable against the actual 6-point result. Total score prediction of 50 was close to the actual 54 — within 4 points. The model went 2/3 on this match. The Draw margin band call landed.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Titans
38%
Cowboys
62%
AI Match Overview
Cowboys hold the advantage at 62% win probability, though Titans are far from out of this at 38%. Titans are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors — including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control — but Cowboys counter with ELO Difference and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Cowboys carry a 85-point ELO rating advantage (1394 vs 1310).
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
3 ACTIVE EDGESEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Cowboys to Win @1.65
Winner ✓
Edge
+3.5%
Line / Spread
Cowboys +3.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+3.5%
Total Points
Under 51.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+3.9%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Titans | WLLLL | 20.4 |
Cowboys | WLLLL | 12.8 |
Avg Conceded
31.2
Titans
38.0
Cowboys
Avg Margin
-10.8
Titans
-25.2
Cowboys
Run Metres
1690
Titans
1661
Cowboys
Line Breaks
4.0
Titans
4.2
Cowboys
Each team's win rate when Wyatt Raymond refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Wyatt Raymond officiates, Titans have won 2 of 4 games (50%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Cowboys's 1 from 3 (33%). That's a 17‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 50.1 pts — above the league norm — suggesting he lets the game flow, which can benefit attacking sides. Home teams win 60% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Titans an additional edge at home. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Cowboys — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
50.1 pts
Home Win %
60%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
62%
Cowboys predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: -0.8
Try Scorer Predictions
AI-powered try scorer predictions and player prop markets — built on our 6-model player stats engine.