AI Referee Insights
Belinda Sharpe officiated this match (21 career games). The 44-point combined total was right in line with Belinda Sharpe's career average of 40. Titans bucked the trend — Knights historically win 100% of games under Belinda Sharpe, but couldn't convert that edge today.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Titans defied the model's 69% prediction for Knights — a notable upset. The margin model missed here — predicting 8.1 but the actual margin was 4 points. Total score prediction of 41 was close to the actual 44 — within 3 points. Titans trailed 20–6 at half-time before staging a second-half comeback to win 20–24. The model went 1/3 on this match. The under 47.5 total call was correct.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Knights
69%
Titans
31%
AI Match Overview
Knights are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Titans. The model sees Knights ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Knights carry a 87-point ELO rating advantage (1404 vs 1317). Recent form favours Knights with 1 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Titans. The margin model predicts Knights by 8.1 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Knights to Win @1.52
Lost ✗
Edge
+1.5%
Line / Spread
Knights -5.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+1.5%
Total Points
Under 47.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+18.2%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Knights | WLLLL | 12.0 |
Titans | LLLLL | 16.4 |
Avg Conceded
20.8
Knights
38.4
Titans
Avg Margin
-8.8
Knights
-22.0
Titans
Run Metres
1672
Knights
1465
Titans
Line Breaks
4.0
Knights
2.6
Titans
Each team's win rate when Belinda Sharpe refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Belinda Sharpe officiates, Knights have won 3 of 3 games (100%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Titans's 0 from 4 (0%). That's a 100‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 40.2 pts, sitting close to the league average. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Knights — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
40.2 pts
Home Win %
52%
Home Bias
Neutral
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Knights predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +8.1
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